Mali: Who really benefits from the collapse of the power in place?
Mali: General Moussa Diawara is already in the sights of UN experts, next on the list?
President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta and Prime Minister Boubou Cisse have just been arrested, says a leader of the mutiny. For months, Mali has suffered from pressure both internally and internationally. The main opponent Soumaïla Cissé has been kidnapped for more than 5 months. Some take the opportunity to hum tunes of partition of the territory. In the middle of this quicksand sink the feet of Moussa Diawara, the man of confidence of President IBK and head of information that the UN experts track relentlessly and who had not seen the fall of power coming in square. Explanations.
Moussa Diawara has been head of intelligence for seven years. He is the former member of the Mali National Guard, General Diawara was aide-de-camp to President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta, then President of the National Assembly (2002-2007). He is also the cousin of Oumar Dao, IBK's particular chief of staff. Moussa Diawara is accused by UN experts of having precipitated the fragmentation of the Coordination of Azawad Movements (CMA). Main signatory of the Algiers agreement signed in 2015 with the government and the Platform, an armed pro-government group. Without a doubt, now that President IBK and the Prime Minister have both knees on the ground, Moussa Diawara will be the next to be fire by military.
If Mali were to be the subject of a split as was the case in Sudan in July 2011, this would lead to the proclamation of the independence of Azawad, a desert area in northern Mali, both Saharan and Sahelian, claimed by the Tuaregs. Northern Mali is also a region with strong energy and mining potential.
As a reminder, this territory represents 850,000 km2 of gas and oil potential, according to studies carried out by the Oil Research Authority (Aurep). This fact partly explains the current situation, which justifies the attempts to partition the country and the strong international pressure suffered by IBK and the Prime Minister.
"How can you assert the sovereignty of your country when you are struggling to move freely throughout your territory?" asks Dr Drissa Kanambaye.
How can you assert the sovereignty of your country when you are struggling to move freely throughout your territory?
Who really benefits from the collapse of the power in place?
If as questioned and commented in his tweet the French politician Jean-Luc Mélenchon: "The Malians are in the street (...) Popular power or that of the military? The Malians themselves write their history!" In reality, the future of Mali promises to be less peaceful and democratic than what might be desired by a Frenchman who judges from France.
It is a wind carried by the force of extremist and religious thought that is sweeping down this evening on Mali, a fragile but democratic model demolished by the mutiny to make room for whom, in what way and to build what kind of State?